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What occupancy does a vacation rental need to be profitable? Break-even occupancy formula

‘Good’ occupancy is not universal. Calculate how many nights you need to sell to cover costs and start making money with a break-even occupancy formula.

Published: October 08, 2026Reading time: 2 minoccupancybreak-evenADRprofitabilityAirbnb
Gatavia analysis
Profitability · Occupancy · Break-even point
Direct answer

There is no universal “good” occupancy. The minimum profitable occupancy depends on your fixed costs, your net income per night, and your variable costs per stay. The useful metric is break-even occupancy: the percentage of available nights you need to sell to avoid losing money.

The formula

Gatavia Formula

Break-even nights = Annual fixed costs ÷ Net contribution per night sold

Break-even occupancy = Break-even nights ÷ Available nights × 100

Complete example

DataExample
Annual fixed costs€18,000
Average ADR€180
Commissions and variable costs per night€60
Net contribution per night€120
Available nights365

Break-even nights = 18,000 / 120 = 150 nights.

Break-even occupancy = 150 / 365 = 41.1 %.

Why a 70% occupancy can be bad

If to reach 70% you have to lower prices significantly, take on more cleaning, increase discounts, or rely on an expensive channel, you may generate more revenue but earn less.

And why 45% can be excellent

A premium property with a high ADR and controlled costs can easily exceed its break-even point with moderate occupancy.

What to include in fixed costs

  • insurance;
  • licenses and recurring fees;
  • software;
  • internet;
  • basic maintenance;
  • structural costs;
  • financing, if you are calculating owner cash flow.

What to subtract from income per night

  • OTA commission;
  • payment costs;
  • unrecoverable cleaning;
  • laundry and consumables;
  • variable supply costs;
  • variable management if charged on income.

Conduct a stress test

Calculate the break-even occupancy with three scenarios: normal ADR, ADR -10%, and ADR -20%. If a small price drop triggers your minimum occupancy, your model has little safety margin.

Gatavia Verdict

Don’t chase occupancy. Chase sufficient contribution to cover your costs.

The best occupancy is the one that exceeds your break-even point with enough margin and without destroying price.

Methodology

The formula uses break-even analysis and separates fixed costs from net contribution per night. The percentages in the example are Gatavia assumptions, not market averages.

Gatavia · More clarity. More time. More life.

Do you want to apply this calculation to your own data?

Do Gatavia Check and review income, costs, and margin with your figures.