You do not need more occupancy. You need to know how much profit bad pricing is leaving on the table.
Higher prices can produce more profit with fewer booked nights. Discounts can fill the calendar and destroy margin. Gatavia separates revenue, occupancy and profit.
Your current economics
How you think demand responds
You provide the assumption and Gatavia tests whether the economics hold.
How much occupancy can you lose after raising price?
If price rises 10%, occupancy can fall by up to 7.8 points and you still earn at least the same profit. The threshold is 60.2% occupancy.
How much occupancy must a discount buy?
If price falls 10%, you need at least 10.1 additional occupancy points, about 37 extra nights per year, to avoid earning less than today.
+30% moves the average nightly rate to €215, with estimated occupancy of 56.0%. Under your assumption, annual profit improves by €3,844.
Do not optimise occupancy. Optimise profit.
This table applies your sensitivity assumption to six price moves.
Price × occupancy economic map
Each cell shows the annual profit for that price and occupancy combination.
| Occupancy move | -20% | -10% | 0% | +10% | +20% | +30% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +20 pts | €21,348 -€1,115 | €25,827 +€3,364 | €30,305 +€7,842 | €34,783 +€12,320 | €39,262 +€16,799 | €43,740 +€21,277 |
| +10 pts | €18,445 -€4,018 | €22,414 -€48 | €26,384 +€3,921 | €30,353 +€7,890 | €34,323 +€11,860 | €38,292 +€15,829 |
| 0 pts | €15,542 -€6,921 | €19,002 -€3,461 | €22,463 +€0 | €25,923 +€3,461 | €29,384 +€6,921 | €32,844 +€10,382 |
| -10 pts | €12,639 -€9,824 | €15,590 -€6,873 | €18,542 -€3,921 | €21,493 -€969 | €24,445 +€1,982 | €27,397 +€4,934 |
| -20 pts | €9,735 -€12,727 | €12,178 -€10,285 | €14,621 -€7,842 | €17,064 -€5,399 | €19,506 -€2,957 | €21,949 -€514 |
Profit = average nightly rate × occupied nights − fees − variable costs − turnovers − fixed costs.
FAQ
Does Gatavia predict demand?
No. Without market data or an observed demand curve that would not be rigorous.
What does it show for a price increase?
The minimum occupancy required to preserve current or target profit.
What about a discount?
The extra occupancy and booked nights required for the discount not to reduce profit.
Does it optimise revenue?
It shows revenue, but the main recommendation is based on profit after real costs.
